Iraqi League · Regular Season - 9
ZakhovsNewroz
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Iraqi League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Zakho vs Newroz: match review and analysis
Zakho vs Newroz in Iraqi League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Zakho recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Newroz recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Zakho | Newroz |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Zakho: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 0.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Newroz: (1.14 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Zakho recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-KarmaIraqi League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MosulIraqi League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al-Jolan SCIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al TalabaIraqi League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al Zawra'aIraqi League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| DiyalaIraqi League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Al Minaa BasraIraqi League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ghaz Al ShamalIraqi League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al Quwa Al JawiyaIraqi League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ErbilIraqi League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Zakho’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Newroz recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghaz Al ShamalIraqi League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al-Jolan SCIraqi League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MosulIraqi League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Naft MaysanIraqi League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| DuhokIraqi League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al TalabaIraqi League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GharrafIraqi League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al Quwa Al JawiyaIraqi League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| NaftIraqi League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MosulIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Newroz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Iraqi League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Newroz are ranked 4 in Iraqi League, with 15 points from 8 games.
Zakho are ranked 12 in Iraqi League, with 9 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawra'a | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Al-Jolan SC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Duhok | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Minaa Basra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Talaba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.