K3 League · Regular Season - 24
YangpyeongvsUlsan Citizen
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- K3 League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen: match review and analysis
Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen in K3 League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Yangpyeong recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 26. Ulsan Citizen recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Yangpyeong | Ulsan Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 26 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Yangpyeong: (1.75 weighted goals scored + 0.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ulsan Citizen: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 2.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Yangpyeong recent form
2.00 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changwon CityK3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PocheonK3 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Siheung CitizenK3 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Daejeon KorailK3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Gyeongju HNPK3 League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Busan TransportationK3 League | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| HwaseongFA Cup | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Jeonbuk Motors IIK3 League | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Ulsan FCFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ChuncheonK3 League | Away | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Yangpyeong’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ulsan Citizen recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siheung CitizenK3 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Daejeon KorailK3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gyeongju HNPK3 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Busan TransportationK3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Jeonbuk Motors IIK3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gwangju FCFA Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ulsan Hyundai FCFA Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ChuncheonK3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Seoul E-Land FCFA Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Yeoju SejongK3 League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ulsan Citizen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
K3 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ulsan Citizen are ranked 9 in K3 League, with 28 points from 23 games.
Yangpyeong are ranked 13 in K3 League, with 17 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 55 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Busan Transportation | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 37 |
| 5 | Gyeongju HNP | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 35 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 31 |
| 7 | Chuncheon | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 30 |
| 8 | Changwon City | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 29 |
| 9 | Ulsan Citizen | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 | Yeoju Sejong | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Gangneung City | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Mokpo City | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 24 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.