National League Cup · Group Stage
WorthingvsIpswich Town U21
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League Cup
- Venue
- Sussex Transport Community Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Worthing vs Ipswich Town U21: match review and analysis
Worthing vs Ipswich Town U21 in National League Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Worthing recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Ipswich Town U21 recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 16 scored and 32 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Worthing | Ipswich Town U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 32 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Worthing: (2.24 weighted goals scored + 3.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ipswich Town U21: (1.50 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Worthing recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solihull MoorsNational League | Home | 5–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| GatesheadNational League | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Yeovil TownNational League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| HartlepoolNational League | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| BarrowNational League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Norwich City U21National League Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AFC FyldeNational League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Boreham WoodNational League | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Worthing’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Ipswich Town U21 recent form
1.60 goals scored and 3.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich Albion U21Premier League Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PeterboroughEFL Trophy | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| LutonEFL Trophy | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Bromley U21Premier League Cup | Away | 4–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Sunderland U21Premier League 2 Division One | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Blackburn Rovers U21Premier League 2 Division One | Home | 4–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Manchester United U21Premier League 2 Division One | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| BraintreeNational League Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Coventry City U21Premier League Cup | Home | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ipswich Town U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League Cup — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.