Friendlies Women · Friendly International Women
USA WvsSpain W
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Friendlies Women
- Venue
- Subaru Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
USA W vs Spain W: match review and analysis
USA W vs Spain W in Friendlies Women on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
USA W recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Spain W recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 27 scored and 3 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | USA W | Spain W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 27 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 3 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
USA W: (0.67 weighted goals scored + 0.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Spain W: (2.85 weighted goals scored + 1.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
USA W recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain WFriendlies Women | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Brazil WFriendlies Women | Away | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Brazil WFriendlies Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Japan WFriendlies Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Japan WFriendlies Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Japan WFriendlies Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Japan WFriendlies Women | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Japan WFriendlies Women | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Colombia WSheBelieves Cup | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Canada WSheBelieves Cup | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from USA W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Spain W recent form
2.70 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA WFriendlies Women | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Iceland WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 6–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| England WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Ukraine WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 5–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| England WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ukraine WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Iceland WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Germany WUEFA Nations League - Women | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Germany WUEFA Nations League - Women | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sweden WUEFA Nations League - Women | Away | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Spain W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Friendlies Women — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.