Serie C - Girone A · Girone A - 9
Union BresciavsPRO Vercelli
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie C - Girone A
- Venue
- Stadio Mario Rigamonti
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Union Brescia vs PRO Vercelli: match review and analysis
Union Brescia vs PRO Vercelli in Serie C - Girone A on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Union Brescia recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 10. PRO Vercelli recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 10 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Union Brescia | PRO Vercelli |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Union Brescia: (1.98 weighted goals scored + 1.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
PRO Vercelli: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Union Brescia recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeccoSerie C - Girone A | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Dolomiti BellunesiSerie C - Girone A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AlcioneSerie C - Girone A | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| TrevisoSerie C - Girone A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TrentoSerie C - Girone A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Desenzano CalvinaSerie C - Girone A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Giana ErminioCoppa Italia Serie C | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Athletic CarpiSerie C - Girone A | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ArezzoCoppa Italia | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Union Brescia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
PRO Vercelli recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic CarpiSerie C - Girone A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TrentoSerie C - Girone A | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| AlcioneSerie C - Girone A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TrevisoSerie C - Girone A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Folgore CarateseSerie C - Girone A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Athletic CarpiCoppa Italia Serie C | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arzignano ValchiampoSerie C - Girone A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Desenzano CalvinaSerie C - Girone A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PergoletteseCoppa Italia Serie C | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from PRO Vercelli’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie C - Girone A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Union Brescia are ranked 2 in Serie C: Girone A, with 16 points from 8 games.
PRO Vercelli are ranked 12 in Serie C: Girone A, with 9 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Albinoleffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | PRO Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Athletic Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.