Friendlies · Friendly International
Ukraine U212–2Albania U21
Mkeka wa Leo · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 2 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Friendlies
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Ukraine U21 vs Albania U21: match review and analysis
Ukraine U21 vs Albania U21 in Friendlies on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Ukraine U21 recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Albania U21 recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, with 3 scored and 1 conceded across 2 games.
| Statistic | Ukraine U21 | Albania U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 2 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 3 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 1 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ukraine U21: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 0.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Albania U21: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ukraine U21 recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Turkey U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Japan U21Friendlies | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| USA U21Friendlies | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Hungary U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Lithuania U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Albania U21Friendlies | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Turkey U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Croatia U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hungary U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Ukraine U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 2 GAMES
Albania U21 recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 2 of 2 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy U18Mediterranean Games | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ukraine U21Friendlies | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Albania U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 2 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Friendlies — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.