Division Intermedia · Regular Season - 28
TacuaryvsParaguari AC
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Division Intermedia
- Venue
- Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Tacuary vs Paraguari AC: match review and analysis
Tacuary vs Paraguari AC in Division Intermedia on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Tacuary recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Paraguari AC recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 18 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tacuary | Paraguari AC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tacuary: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Paraguari AC: (1.91 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tacuary recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético TembetaryDivision Intermedia | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Benjamín AcevalDivision Intermedia | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sportivo CarapeguáDivision Intermedia | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| 12 de Junio VHDivision Intermedia | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EncarnaciónDivision Intermedia | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo SantaniDivision Intermedia | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Fernando De La MoraDivision Intermedia | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| 3 de NoviembreDivision Intermedia | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Libertad AsuncionCopa Paraguay | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| General CaballeroDivision Intermedia | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Tacuary’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Paraguari AC recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 de NoviembreDivision Intermedia | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atlético TembetaryDivision Intermedia | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| General CaballeroDivision Intermedia | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Benjamín AcevalDivision Intermedia | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Guairena FCDivision Intermedia | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sportivo CarapeguáDivision Intermedia | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| ResistenciaDivision Intermedia | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| 12 de Junio VHDivision Intermedia | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Sportivo LuquenoCopa Paraguay | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SOL DE AmericaDivision Intermedia | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Paraguari AC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Division Intermedia — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Paraguari AC are ranked 8 in Division Intermedia, with 38 points from 27 games.
Tacuary are ranked 15 in Division Intermedia, with 24 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 54 |
| 2 | General Caballero | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio VH | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 50 |
| 4 | Benjamín Aceval | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 42 |
| 5 | SOL DE America | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 41 |
| 6 | Independiente F.b.c. | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Sportivo Carapeguá | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 39 |
| 8 | Paraguari AC | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 38 |
| 9 | Atlético Tembetary | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Resistencia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Fernando De La Mora | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportivo Capiata | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | 3 de Noviembre | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 25 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | Encarnación | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 22 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.