Challenge Cup · Group Stage - 6
StranraervsKilmarnock II
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge Cup
- Venue
- Stair Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Stranraer vs Kilmarnock II: match review and analysis
Stranraer vs Kilmarnock II in Challenge Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Stranraer recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 31 and conceding 13. Kilmarnock II recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 11 scored and 31 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Stranraer | Kilmarnock II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 31 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 31 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Stranraer: (3.01 weighted goals scored + 2.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kilmarnock II: (1.14 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Stranraer recent form
3.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annan AthleticLeague Two | Away | 6–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Edinburgh CityLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| East KilbrideChallenge Cup | Home | 4–3 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Berwick RangersChallenge Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Elgin CityLeague Two | Away | 5–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| DumbartonLeague Two | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Forfar AthleticLeague Two | Away | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Celtic IIChallenge Cup | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Kelty HeartsLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Gala Fairydean RoversChallenge Cup | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Stranraer’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Kilmarnock II recent form
1.10 goals scored and 3.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton AcademicalChallenge Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| DumbartonChallenge Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CowdenbeathChallenge Cup | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Cumbernauld ColtsChallenge Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| East KilbrideChallenge Cup | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| Annan AthleticChallenge Cup | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| ClydeChallenge Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Alloa AthleticChallenge Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| StenhousemuirChallenge Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| East FifeChallenge Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kilmarnock II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge Cup — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.