Challenge Cup · Group Stage - 6
SpartansvsBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge Cup
- Venue
- Ainslie Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: match review and analysis
Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in Challenge Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Spartans recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 18 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Spartans | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Spartans: (1.73 weighted goals scored + 1.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: (1.62 weighted goals scored + 1.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Spartans recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh CityLeague Two | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Kelty HeartsLeague Two | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dundee IIChallenge Cup | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Gala Fairydean RoversChallenge Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DumbartonLeague Two | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Forfar AthleticLeague Two | Home | 5–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Hamilton AcademicalChallenge Cup | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Stirling AlbionLeague Two | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| ClydeLeague Two | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Hearts U21Challenge Cup | Home | 5–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Spartans’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ClachnacuddinFA Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Motherwell U21Challenge Cup | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Airdrie UnitedChallenge Cup | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Stirling UniversityFootball League - Lowland League | Home | 6–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Gala Fairydean RoversFootball League - Lowland League | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Civil Service StrollersFootball League - Lowland League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| East KilbrideChallenge Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Hill Of Beath HawthornFootball League - Lowland League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rangers U21Challenge Cup | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Berwick RangersFootball League - Lowland League | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge Cup — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.
