Birinci Dasta · Regular Season - 4
ŞimalvsXankəndi FK
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 5 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Birinci Dasta
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Şimal vs Xankəndi FK: match review and analysis
Şimal vs Xankəndi FK in Birinci Dasta on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Şimal recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Xankəndi FK recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 5 scored and 8 conceded across 5 games.
| Statistic | Şimal | Xankəndi FK |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Şimal: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Xankəndi FK: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Şimal recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŞahdağBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| MOIKBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CəbrayılBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Qaradağ LökbatanBirinci Dasta | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CəbrayılBirinci Dasta | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Difai AğsuBirinci Dasta | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MOIKBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Safa BakuBirinci Dasta | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Baku SportinqBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SəbailBirinci Dasta | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Şimal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 5 GAMES
Xankəndi FK recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 5 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOIKBirinci Dasta | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CəbrayılBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SəbailBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Difai AğsuCup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hypers GubaCup | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Xankəndi FK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Birinci Dasta — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Xankəndi FK are ranked 7 in Birinci Dasta, with 1 points from 3 games.
Şimal are ranked 9 in Birinci Dasta, with 1 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Səbail | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Karvan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | MOIK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Zaqatala | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 9 | Şimal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.