Non League Premier - Southern South · Regular Season - 12
SholingvsChichester City
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern South
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Sholing vs Chichester City: match review and analysis
Sholing vs Chichester City in Non League Premier - Southern South on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sholing recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Chichester City recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 23 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sholing | Chichester City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sholing: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chichester City: (2.09 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Sholing recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frome TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ebbsfleet UnitedFA Cup | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| BerkhamstedNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Yate TownFA Trophy | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tiverton TownFA Cup | Away | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Andover New StreetFA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Gosport BoroughNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Bracknell TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sholing’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Chichester City recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Hanworth VillaNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Thame UnitedFA Trophy | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SE DonsFA Cup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| UxbridgeNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Broadfields UnitedFA Cup | Away | 4–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Havant & WvilleNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Hanwell TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Chippenham TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Chichester City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Chichester City are ranked 7 in Regular Season, with 16 points from 10 games.
Sholing are ranked 16 in Regular Season, with 11 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Plymouth Parkway | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Wimborne Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 15 |
| 10 | Chertsey Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 15 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Taunton Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Evesham United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Basingstoke Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Yate Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 | Sholing | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Bracknell Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.