Paulista - U20 · Round of 16
Sfera U20vsGuarani U20
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Paulista - U20
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Sfera U20 vs Guarani U20: match review and analysis
Sfera U20 vs Guarani U20 in Paulista - U20 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sfera U20 recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Guarani U20 recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sfera U20 | Guarani U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sfera U20: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Guarani U20: (2.19 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sfera U20 recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XV de Piracicaba U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| XV de Piracicaba U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Palmeiras U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ituano U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Gremio Prudente U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Referencia U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| XV de Jaú U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Água Santa U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Osasco Audax U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tanabi SP U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sfera U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Guarani U20 recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| União Suzano U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| União Suzano U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gremio Prudente U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| XV de Jaú U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ituano U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Capivariano U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RB Bragantino U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Água Santa U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Referencia U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tanabi SP U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Guarani U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Paulista - U20 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Santos U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Ferroviária U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Portuguesa U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Corinthians U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | União Suzano U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Ponte Preta U20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Jabaquara U20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | São Bento U20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Mirassol U20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Itapirense U20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | América-SP U20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Sertãozinho U20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibrachina U20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Oeste U20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Desportivo Brasil U20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bandeirante U20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | São Paulo U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | São Caetano U20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | XV de Piracicaba U20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | EC São Bernardo U20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP U20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Novorizontino U20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | União São João U20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Velo Clube U20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Santo André U20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Aguai U20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
Guarani U20 are ranked 5 in U20 Paulista 2026, Group 3, with 3 points from 1 games.
Sfera U20 are ranked 14 in U20 Paulista 2026, Group 3, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Água Santa U20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | RB Bragantino U20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Ituano U20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Capivariano U20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Guarani U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Palmeiras U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Flamengo SP U20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | XV de Jaú U20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Tanabi SP U20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Osasco Audax U20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Mauá U20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Porto Football U20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | Sfera U20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Referencia U20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.