Copa do Brasil U20 · Round of 32
São Paulo U20vsAthletico PR U20
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa do Brasil U20
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
São Paulo U20 vs Athletico PR U20: match review and analysis
São Paulo U20 vs Athletico PR U20 in Copa do Brasil U20 on 8 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
São Paulo U20 recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 27 and conceding 3. Athletico PR U20 recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 19 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | São Paulo U20 | Athletico PR U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 27 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 3 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
São Paulo U20: (2.97 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Athletico PR U20: (1.75 weighted goals scored + 0.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
São Paulo U20 recent form
2.70 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EC São Bernardo U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| EC São Bernardo U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| União São João U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gremio Santo Antonio U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 13–1 | Won | |
| Desportivo Brasil U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SC Paulinense SP U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ibrachina U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Novorizontino U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Aguai U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Botafogo SP U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from São Paulo U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Athletico PR U20 recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luverdense U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| RB Bragantino U20Brasileiro U20 A | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| RB Bragantino U20Brasileiro U20 A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Vitória U20Brasileiro U20 A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Avaí U20Brasileiro U20 A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Fluminense U20Brasileiro U20 A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Cruzeiro U20Brasileiro U20 A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Flamengo U20Brasileiro U20 A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Araucaria U20Paranaense U20 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Juventude U20Brasileiro U20 A | Home | 6–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Athletico PR U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa do Brasil U20 — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.