Challenge Cup · Group Stage - 6
Ross CountyvsForfar Athletic
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge Cup
- Venue
- Global Energy Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Ross County vs Forfar Athletic: match review and analysis
Ross County vs Forfar Athletic in Challenge Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ross County recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 47 and conceding 11. Forfar Athletic recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ross County | Forfar Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 47 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ross County: (5.36 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Forfar Athletic: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Ross County recent form
4.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MontroseLeague One | Away | 5–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Alloa AthleticLeague One | Home | 4–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Hearts U21Challenge Cup | Home | 14–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| ClachnacuddinChallenge Cup | Away | 5–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Cove RangersLeague One | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Queen of the SouthLeague One | Home | 8–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| HibernianLeague Cup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Aberdeen U21Challenge Cup | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| East FifeLeague One | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| East KilbrideLeague One | Home | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Ross County’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Forfar Athletic recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin CityLeague Two | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DumbartonLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Formartine UnitedChallenge Cup | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Dundee United IIChallenge Cup | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| PeterheadChallenge Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Annan AthleticLeague Two | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| SpartansLeague Two | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Banks O' DeeChallenge Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| StranraerLeague Two | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Edinburgh CityLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Forfar Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge Cup — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.