World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Semi-finals
Romania WvsNorway W
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
- Venue
- Stadionul Arcul de Triumf
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Romania W vs Norway W: match review and analysis
Romania W vs Norway W in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Romania W recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Norway W recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Romania W | Norway W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Romania W: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Norway W: (1.62 weighted goals scored + 0.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Romania W recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Cyprus WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Cyprus WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Moldova WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Moldova WFriendlies Women | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Montenegro WFriendlies Women | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ukraine WFriendlies Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Poland WUEFA Nations League - Women | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina WUEFA Nations League - Women | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Northern Ireland WUEFA Nations League - Women | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Romania W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Norway W recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Germany WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Slovenia WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Slovenia WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Germany WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Austria WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Denmark WFriendlies Women | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Brazil WFriendlies Women | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Japan WFriendlies Women | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Italy WUEFA Championship - Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Norway W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sweden W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Serbia W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Netherlands W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Republic of Ireland W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Poland W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 15 |
| 2 | England W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Iceland W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
| 4 | Ukraine W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 19 | -17 | 0 |
Norway W are ranked 2 in League A - Group D, with 12 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 17 | 16 |
| 2 | Norway W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Austria W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 4 |
| 4 | Slovenia W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Czechia W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 3 | Albania W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Malta W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 24 | -20 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 15 |
| 2 | Finland W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Slovakia W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 22 | 14 |
| 2 | Belgium W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 21 | 14 |
| 3 | Israel W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Luxembourg W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 34 | -33 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lithuania W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Bosnia-Herzegovina W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 11 |
| 3 | Estonia W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 34 | -31 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kosovo W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 15 |
| 2 | Croatia W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 15 |
| 3 | Bulgaria W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Gibraltar W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 32 | -31 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hungary W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 16 |
| 2 | Azerbaijan W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | North Macedonia W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| 4 | Andorra W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greece W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Georgia W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
Romania W are ranked 1 in League C - Group E, with 10 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Moldova W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cyprus W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belarus W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan W | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.