Copa Venezuela · Round 1 - Group B
Real FronteravsAtletico el Vigia FC
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Venezuela
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Real Frontera vs Atletico el Vigia FC: match review and analysis
Real Frontera vs Atletico el Vigia FC in Copa Venezuela on 6 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Real Frontera recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 3 and conceding 29. Atletico el Vigia FC recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Real Frontera | Atletico el Vigia FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 29 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Real Frontera: (0.31 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atletico el Vigia FC: (2.13 weighted goals scored + 2.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Frontera recent form
0.30 goals scored and 2.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo LaraSegunda División | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Yaracuyanos FCSegunda División | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Atletico el Vigia FCSegunda División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Club Atletico BarinasSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Urena SCSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Zamora FCCopa Venezuela | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Fundación Lara DeportivaSegunda División | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Zamora FC BSegunda División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Puerto Cabello IISegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Zamora FCCopa Venezuela | Away | 0–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Real Frontera’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atletico el Vigia FC recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundación Lara DeportivaSegunda División | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Zamora FC BSegunda División | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Puerto Cabello IISegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real FronteraSegunda División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo LaraSegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Yaracuyanos FCSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Club Atletico BarinasCopa Venezuela | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Club Atletico BarinasSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Urena SCSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Club Atletico BarinasCopa Venezuela | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Atletico el Vigia FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Venezuela — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anzoátegui FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Atletico Avila FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Petare FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Marítimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Atletico el Vigia FC are ranked 3 in Round 1 - Group B, with 7 points from 5 games.
Real Frontera are ranked 4 in Round 1 - Group B, with 1 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamora FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 10 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Barinas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Atletico el Vigia FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 |
| 4 | Real Frontera | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caracas FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Aragua FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Fundación Lara Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Zuliano | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | Urena SC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 3 | Trujillanos FC | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Deportivo Lara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas SC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Mineros de Guyana | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 10 |
| 3 | Bolívar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.