Super League · Regular Season - 27
Qingdao JonoonvsBeijing Guoan
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- Qingdao Youth Football Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan: match review and analysis
Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan in Super League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Qingdao Jonoon recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 29. Beijing Guoan recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 25 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Qingdao Jonoon | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 29 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Qingdao Jonoon: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Beijing Guoan: (2.26 weighted goals scored + 2.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Qingdao Jonoon recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian ZhixingSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Wuhan Three TownsSuper League | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Shandong LunengSuper League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tianjin TedaSuper League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Shanghai ShenhuaFA Cup | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Henan JianyeSuper League | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Hangzhou GreentownSuper League | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Qingdao Jonoon’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Beijing Guoan recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pohang SteelersAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rizhao YuqiFA Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dalian ZhixingSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Yunnan YukunSuper League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Tianjin TedaSuper League | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Sichuan JiuniuSuper League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Hangzhou GreentownSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chengdu Better CitySuper League | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Beijing Guoan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Beijing Guoan are ranked 3 in Super League, with 38 points from 26 games.
Qingdao Jonoon are ranked 16 in Super League, with 14 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Henan Jianye | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 27 |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.