Liga III - Serie 3 · Group 3 - 8
Progresul DraganestivsTunari
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 7 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Progresul Draganesti vs Tunari: match review and analysis
Progresul Draganesti vs Tunari in Liga III - Serie 3 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Progresul Draganesti recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 7 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Tunari recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Progresul Draganesti | Tunari |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Progresul Draganesti: (1.84 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tunari: (1.90 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 7 GAMES
Progresul Draganesti recent form
1.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. 6 of 7 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PăuleştiLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Urban TituLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BercaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PlopeniLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Râmnicu SăratLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PucioasaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Voința CrevediaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Progresul Draganesti’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 7 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tunari recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viitorul CorbeancaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Flacăra MoreniLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| PăuleştiLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Urban TituLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| BercaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PlopeniLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Râmnicu SăratLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Corona BraşovCupa României | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ŞtefăneştiCupa României | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PăuleştiCupa României | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tunari’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tunari are ranked 2 in Group 3, with 16 points from 7 games.
Progresul Draganesti are ranked 5 in Group 3, with 11 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 19 | 19 |
| 2 | Tunari | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Berca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Blejoi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Voința Crevedia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Pucioasa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Urban Titu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Râmnicu Sărat | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.