Vysshaya Liga · Regular Season - 18
ParvozvsKhujand
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Vysshaya Liga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Parvoz vs Khujand: match review and analysis
Parvoz vs Khujand in Vysshaya Liga on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Parvoz recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 22. Khujand recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 9 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Parvoz | Khujand |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Parvoz: (0.97 weighted goals scored + 0.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Khujand: (0.86 weighted goals scored + 2.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Parvoz recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khosilot FarkhorVysshaya Liga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RavshanVysshaya Liga | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| IstiqlolVysshaya Liga | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Regar-TadAZVysshaya Liga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Sardor TursunzodaVysshaya Liga | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| IstaravshanVysshaya Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Barki TajikVysshaya Liga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CSKA PomirVysshaya Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| EskhataVysshaya Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KhatlonVysshaya Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Parvoz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Khujand recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IstiqlolVysshaya Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Regar-TadAZVysshaya Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| IstaravshanVysshaya Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| CSKA PomirVysshaya Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EskhataVysshaya Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Barki TajikVysshaya Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KhatlonVysshaya Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RavshanVysshaya Liga | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Khosilot FarkhorVysshaya Liga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ParvozVysshaya Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Khujand’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Vysshaya Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Khujand are ranked 6 in Vysshaya Liga, with 24 points from 16 games.
Parvoz are ranked 10 in Vysshaya Liga, with 15 points from 17 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Regar-TadAZ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 37 |
| 3 | Khosilot Farkhor | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| 4 | Barki Tajik | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | CSKA Pomir | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 24 |
| 6 | Khujand | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Ravshan | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Khatlon | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Eskhata | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 19 |
| 10 | Parvoz | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
| 11 | Sardor Tursunzoda | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 17 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.