Copa do Brasil U20 · Round of 32
Palmeiras U20vsSantos U20
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa do Brasil U20
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Palmeiras U20 vs Santos U20: match review and analysis
Palmeiras U20 vs Santos U20 in Copa do Brasil U20 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Palmeiras U20 recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 28 and conceding 5. Santos U20 recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 26 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Palmeiras U20 | Santos U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 28 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Palmeiras U20: (3.11 weighted goals scored + 0.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Santos U20: (2.51 weighted goals scored + 0.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Palmeiras U20 recent form
2.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ituano U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Naviraiense U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 10–0 | Won | |
| Sfera U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Água Santa U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Vasco da Gama U20Brasileiro U20 A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vasco da Gama U20Brasileiro U20 A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Referencia U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| XV de Jaú U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ituano U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Palmeiras U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Santos U20 recent form
2.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabaquara U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Jabaquara U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Mirassol U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cuiabá U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Portuguesa Santista U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| América-SP U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Itapirense U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| São Bento U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Juventus U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Vasco da Gama U20Brasileiro U20 A | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Santos U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa do Brasil U20 — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.
