Copa do Brasil U20 · Round of 32
Nautico U206–2Sergipe U20
Mkeka wa Leo · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa do Brasil U20
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 6–2
- 90-minute score
- 6–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Nautico U20 vs Sergipe U20: match review and analysis
Nautico U20 vs Sergipe U20 in Copa do Brasil U20 on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 6–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Nautico U20 recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 8. Sergipe U20 recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nautico U20 | Sergipe U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nautico U20: (2.58 weighted goals scored + 1.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sergipe U20: (1.75 weighted goals scored + 0.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nautico U20 recent form
2.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolina U20Pernambucano - U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Jaguar U20Pernambucano - U20 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Guarany U20Pernambucano - U20 | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Serrano PE U20Pernambucano - U20 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Academica Vitoria U20Pernambucano - U20 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| America PE U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sport Recife U20Pernambucano - U20 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| America PE U20Pernambucano - U20 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Itaquá Athletico Clube U20São Paulo Youth Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Juventude-MA U20São Paulo Youth Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Nautico U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sergipe U20 recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcon U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sport Recife U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| América de Propriá U20Sergipano U20 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| América de Propriá U20Sergipano U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Carmopolis U20Sergipano U20 | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| Falcon U20Sergipano U20 | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Itabaiana U20Sergipano U20 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| AD Confiança U20Sergipano U20 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dorense U20Sergipano U20 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Guarany SE U20Sergipano U20 | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sergipe U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa do Brasil U20 — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.