FKF Premier League · Regular Season - 1
Nairobi UnitedvsKCB
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FKF Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Nairobi United vs KCB: match review and analysis
Nairobi United vs KCB in FKF Premier League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Nairobi United recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 10. KCB recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 10 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nairobi United | KCB |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nairobi United: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
KCB: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nairobi United recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOR MahiaFKF Premier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PoliceFKF Premier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Posta Rangers FCFKF Premier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Kariobangi SharksFKF Premier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TuskerFKF Premier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KCBShield Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mathare UnitedFKF Premier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Murang'a SEALFKF Premier League | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Posta Rangers FCShield Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| HomeboyzFKF Premier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Nairobi United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
KCB recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BandariShield Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ShabanaFKF Premier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SofapakaFKF Premier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Posta Rangers FCFKF Premier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TuskerShield Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BandariFKF Premier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| APS BometFKF Premier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nairobi UnitedShield Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| HomeboyzFKF Premier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ulinzi StarsFKF Premier League | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from KCB’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FKF Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
KCB are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Nairobi United are ranked 17 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | GOR Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Posta Rangers FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Bandari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Police | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Migori Youth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Shabana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Mombasa Elite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.