B-Liga Women · Regular Season - 1
Naestved WvsAaB W
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 8 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- B-Liga Women
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Naestved W vs AaB W: match review and analysis
Naestved W vs AaB W in B-Liga Women on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Naestved W recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 8 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 8. AaB W recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 9 scored and 27 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Naestved W | AaB W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 27 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Naestved W: (1.77 weighted goals scored + 2.64 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
AaB W: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 8 GAMES
Naestved W recent form
1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 8 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AaB WB-Liga Women | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Thy ThistedQ WB-Liga Women | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sundby WB-Liga Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| B 93 WB-Liga Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Viborg WB-Liga Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Osterbro WB-Liga Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Esbjerg WB-Liga Women | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AaB WB-Liga Women | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Naestved W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 8 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
AaB W recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naestved WB-Liga Women | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Sundby WB-Liga Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Viborg WB-Liga Women | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Esbjerg WB-Liga Women | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Thy ThistedQ WB-Liga Women | Home | 3–6 | Lost | |
| B 93 WB-Liga Women | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Osterbro WB-Liga Women | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Naestved WB-Liga Women | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Køge WKvindeliga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AGF WKvindeliga | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from AaB W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
B-Liga Women — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Naestved W are ranked 4 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 8 games.
AaB W are ranked 7 in Regular Season, with 4 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B 93 W | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Sundby W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Osterbro W | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Naestved W | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Thy ThistedQ W | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Viborg W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | AaB W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 4 |
| 8 | Esbjerg W | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.