Premier League · Regular Season - 4
Mount Pleasant Academy1–1Cavalier
Mkeka wa Leo · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Draxhall Sports Complex
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Mount Pleasant Academy vs Cavalier: match review and analysis
Mount Pleasant Academy vs Cavalier in Premier League on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Mount Pleasant Academy recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Cavalier recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mount Pleasant Academy | Cavalier |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mount Pleasant Academy: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cavalier: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mount Pleasant Academy recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DunbeholdenPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Racing UnitedPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CavalierCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tru-JuicePremier League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Portmore UnitedCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SalcedoCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CibaoCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Delfines Del EsteCONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Robin HoodCONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Weymouth WalesCONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Mount Pleasant Academy’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cavalier recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnett GardensPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Mount Pleasant AcademyCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DunbeholdenPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Portmore UnitedCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SalcedoCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CibaoCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Portmore UnitedPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Montego Bay UnitedPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Montego Bay UnitedPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| WaterhousePremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Cavalier’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cavalier are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 7 points from 3 games.
Mount Pleasant Academy are ranked 9 in Premier League, with 4 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montego Bay United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Waterhouse | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Tivoli Gardens | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Tru-Juice | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Mount Pleasant Academy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Chapelton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 |
| 11 | Molynes United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | Treasure Beach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Humble Lions | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
| 14 | Dunbeholden | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.