Liga Alef · North - 6
Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Alef
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus: match review and analysis
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus in Liga Alef on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Hapoel Bnei Musmus recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Hapoel Bnei Musmus |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hapoel Bnei Musmus: (1.14 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattLiga Alef | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Ironi ArrabaLiga Alef | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmekLiga Alef | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Maccabi K. Ata BialikLiga Alef | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TiraLiga Alef | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tzeirei Umm al-FahmLiga Alef | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Maccabi Neve Sha'ananLiga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Maccabi K. Ata BialikLiga Alef | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ironi Baka El GarbiyaLiga Alef | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmekLiga Alef | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hapoel Bnei Musmus recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi K. Ata BialikLiga Alef | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TiraLiga Alef | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Beitar NahariyaLiga Alef | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Ironi KarmielLiga Alef | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Tzeirei Umm al-FahmLiga Alef | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Hapoel Umm al-FahmLiga Alef | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Maccabi K. Ata BialikLiga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Beit SheanLiga Alef | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Ironi KarmielLiga Alef | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Tzeirey TamraLiga Alef | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Hapoel Bnei Musmus’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Alef — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.