World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Semi-finals
Lithuania WvsSweden W
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Lithuania W vs Sweden W: match review and analysis
Lithuania W vs Sweden W in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Lithuania W recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Sweden W recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Lithuania W | Sweden W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Lithuania W: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sweden W: (0.94 weighted goals scored + 0.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Lithuania W recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liechtenstein WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Estonia WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Estonia WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Liechtenstein WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Estonia WFriendlies Women | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Latvia WFriendlies Women | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Faroe Islands WFriendlies Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Montenegro WUEFA Nations League - Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lithuania W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sweden W recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Denmark WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Serbia WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Denmark WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Serbia WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Italy WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| France WUEFA Nations League - Women | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| France WUEFA Nations League - Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Spain WUEFA Nations League - Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Spain WUEFA Nations League - Women | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sweden W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sweden W are ranked 3 in League A - Group A, with 8 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sweden W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Serbia W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Netherlands W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Republic of Ireland W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Poland W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 15 |
| 2 | England W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Iceland W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
| 4 | Ukraine W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 19 | -17 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 17 | 16 |
| 2 | Norway W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Austria W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 4 |
| 4 | Slovenia W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Czechia W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 3 | Albania W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Malta W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 24 | -20 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 15 |
| 2 | Finland W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Slovakia W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 22 | 14 |
| 2 | Belgium W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 21 | 14 |
| 3 | Israel W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Luxembourg W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 34 | -33 | 0 |
Lithuania W are ranked 1 in League C - Group A, with 11 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lithuania W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Bosnia-Herzegovina W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 11 |
| 3 | Estonia W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 34 | -31 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kosovo W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 15 |
| 2 | Croatia W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 15 |
| 3 | Bulgaria W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Gibraltar W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 32 | -31 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hungary W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 16 |
| 2 | Azerbaijan W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | North Macedonia W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| 4 | Andorra W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greece W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Georgia W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Moldova W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cyprus W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belarus W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan W | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.