Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 12
LeamingtonvsRedditch United
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern Central
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Leamington vs Redditch United: match review and analysis
Leamington vs Redditch United in Non League Premier - Southern Central on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Leamington recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Redditch United recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Leamington | Redditch United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Leamington: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Redditch United: (1.82 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Leamington recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Bromsgrove SportingNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| QuornFA Trophy | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Gainsborough TrinityFA Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Gainsborough TrinityFA Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bishop's StortfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ilkeston TownFA Cup | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Leamington’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Redditch United recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop's StortfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| BerkhamstedFA Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Peterborough SportsNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bedworth UnitedFA Trophy | Away | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Racing Club WarwickNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Evesham UnitedFA Cup | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Real BedfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Malvern TownFA Cup | Home | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Malvern TownFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Halesowen TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Redditch United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern Central — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Redditch United are ranked 10 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 10 games.
Leamington are ranked 16 in Regular Season, with 9 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Alvechurch | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Kettering Town | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Redditch United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Banbury United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Stratford Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 28 | -25 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.