Lancaster CityvsStockton Town

Mkeka wa Leo match analysis

Lancaster City vs Stockton Town: match review and analysis

Lancaster City vs Stockton Town in Non League Premier - Northern on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.

Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.

Lancaster City recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 21. Stockton Town recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 17 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Lancaster City: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 2.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Stockton Town: (1.60 weighted goals scored + 2.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.