J1 League · Regular Season - 9
Kashiwa ReysolvsVissel Kobe
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J1 League
- Venue
- Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe: match review and analysis
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe in J1 League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Kashiwa Reysol recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 16. Vissel Kobe recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 16 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kashiwa Reysol | Vissel Kobe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kashiwa Reysol: (2.44 weighted goals scored + 0.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vissel Kobe: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 1.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kashiwa Reysol recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba OsakaJ-League Cup | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| ImabariEmperor Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Machida ZelviaJ1 League | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Jeonbuk MotorsAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kyoto SangaJ1 League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cerezo OsakaJ1 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Senshu UniversityEmperor Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ1 League | Home | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Kashiwa Reysol’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vissel Kobe recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagan TosuEmperor Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gamba OsakaJ1 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Port FCAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| KashimaJ1 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ1 League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Tokyo VerdyJ1 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cerezo OsakaJ1 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Veroskronos TsunoEmperor Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC TokyoJ1 League | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Vissel Kobe’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J1 League — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vissel Kobe are ranked 1 in J-League, with 19 points from 8 games.
Kashiwa Reysol are ranked 2 in J-League, with 18 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.