Second League · Regular Season - 8
ItesalatvsEl Mansura
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League
- Venue
- Telecom Egypt Club Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Itesalat vs El Mansura: match review and analysis
Itesalat vs El Mansura in Second League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Itesalat recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 11. El Mansura recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 10 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Itesalat | El Mansura |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Itesalat: (1.37 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
El Mansura: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Itesalat recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProxySecond League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| La Viena FCSecond League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| El Seka El HadidSecond League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tanta SCSecond League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| DayroutSecond League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ismaily SCSecond League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Haras El HodoodSecond League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MasarSecond League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| El Seka El HadidSecond League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| El Entag EL HarbySecond League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Itesalat’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
El Mansura recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MasarSecond League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Maleyet Kafr El ZayiatSecond League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TeamSecond League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TersanaSecond League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kahraba IsmailiaSecond League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PharcoSecond League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Baladiyyat Al MehallaSecond League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tanta SCSecond League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Asyut PetrolSecond League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Baladiyyat Al MehallaSecond League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from El Mansura’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Itesalat are ranked 4 in Division 2, with 15 points from 7 games.
El Mansura are ranked 9 in Division 2, with 11 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Kahraba Ismailia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Itesalat | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | AL Nasr SC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Pharco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Tersana | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | El Mansura | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | El Seka El Hadid | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | El Dakhleya | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Tanta SC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | El Entag EL Harby | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 15 | Team | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Ismaily SC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Dayrout | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | Proxy | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | La Viena FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Mega Sport | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.