World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Semi-finals
Hungary WvsNetherlands W
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
- Venue
- Pancho Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Hungary W vs Netherlands W: match review and analysis
Hungary W vs Netherlands W in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hungary W recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 28 and conceding 5. Netherlands W recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hungary W | Netherlands W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 28 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hungary W: (3.44 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Netherlands W: (1.97 weighted goals scored + 0.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hungary W recent form
2.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andorra WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Azerbaijan WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| North Macedonia WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| North Macedonia WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Azerbaijan WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Andorra WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Republic of Ireland WFriendlies Women | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Slovakia WFriendlies Women | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Luxembourg WFriendlies Women | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Belarus WUEFA Nations League - Women | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hungary W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Netherlands W recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Republic of Ireland WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| France WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| France WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Republic of Ireland WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Poland WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| South Korea WFriendlies Women | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Portugal WFriendlies Women | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Canada WFriendlies Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Poland WFriendlies Women | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Netherlands W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sweden W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Serbia W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
Netherlands W are ranked 2 in League A - Group B, with 11 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Netherlands W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Republic of Ireland W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Poland W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 15 |
| 2 | England W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Iceland W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
| 4 | Ukraine W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 19 | -17 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 17 | 16 |
| 2 | Norway W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Austria W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 4 |
| 4 | Slovenia W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Czechia W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 3 | Albania W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Malta W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 24 | -20 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 15 |
| 2 | Finland W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Slovakia W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 22 | 14 |
| 2 | Belgium W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 21 | 14 |
| 3 | Israel W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Luxembourg W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 34 | -33 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lithuania W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Bosnia-Herzegovina W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 11 |
| 3 | Estonia W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 34 | -31 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kosovo W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 15 |
| 2 | Croatia W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 15 |
| 3 | Bulgaria W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Gibraltar W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 32 | -31 | 0 |
Hungary W are ranked 1 in League C - Group C, with 16 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hungary W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 16 |
| 2 | Azerbaijan W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | North Macedonia W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| 4 | Andorra W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greece W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Georgia W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Moldova W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cyprus W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belarus W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan W | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.