HNL · Regular Season - 9
HNK GoricavsRudes
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- HNL
- Venue
- Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
HNK Gorica vs Rudes: match review and analysis
HNK Gorica vs Rudes in HNL on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
HNK Gorica recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Rudes recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 14 scored and 27 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | HNK Gorica | Rudes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 27 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
HNK Gorica: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 2.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rudes: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
HNK Gorica recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BravoFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| MariborFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Istra 1961HNL | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| NK VarazdinHNL | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Uskok KlisCup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dinamo ZagrebHNL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HNK RijekaHNL | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NK Slaven BelupoHNL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitHNL | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from HNK Gorica’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rudes recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven BelupoHNL | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Istra 1961HNL | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| KoprivnicaCup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitHNL | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| NK VarazdinHNL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo ZagrebHNL | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| NK OsijekHNL | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| HNK RijekaHNL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GöztepeFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Rudes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
HNL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
HNK Gorica are ranked 9 in HNL, with 5 points from 8 games.
Rudes are ranked 10 in HNL, with 4 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | HNK Hajduk Split | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | NK Varazdin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | HNK Gorica | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 10 | Rudes | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.