Oberliga - Hamburg · Hamburg - 11
HarksheidevsNorderstedt II
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 9 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Oberliga - Hamburg
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Harksheide vs Norderstedt II: match review and analysis
Harksheide vs Norderstedt II in Oberliga - Hamburg on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Harksheide recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 20. Norderstedt II recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses, with 9 scored and 32 conceded across 9 games.
| Statistic | Harksheide | Norderstedt II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 9 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 32 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Harksheide: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 3.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Norderstedt II: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 2.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Harksheide recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEBCOberliga - Hamburg | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Altona 93Oberliga - Hamburg | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BuchholzOberliga - Hamburg | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ETSV HamburgOberliga - Hamburg | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| ConcordiaOberliga - Hamburg | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Teutonia OttensenOberliga - Hamburg | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tus DassendorfOberliga - Hamburg | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SaselOberliga - Hamburg | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SüderelbeOberliga - Hamburg | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PinnebergOberliga - Hamburg | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Harksheide’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 9 GAMES
Norderstedt II recent form
1.00 goals scored and 3.56 conceded per game. 8 of 9 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altona 93Oberliga - Hamburg | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| BuchholzOberliga - Hamburg | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ConcordiaOberliga - Hamburg | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Teutonia OttensenOberliga - Hamburg | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Tus DassendorfOberliga - Hamburg | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SaselOberliga - Hamburg | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SüderelbeOberliga - Hamburg | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PinnebergOberliga - Hamburg | Home | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Victoria HamburgOberliga - Hamburg | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Norderstedt II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 9 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Oberliga - Hamburg — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.