Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 12
Halesowen TownvsAlvechurch
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern Central
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Halesowen Town vs Alvechurch: match review and analysis
Halesowen Town vs Alvechurch in Non League Premier - Southern Central on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Halesowen Town recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Alvechurch recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Halesowen Town | Alvechurch |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Halesowen Town: (1.59 weighted goals scored + 0.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Alvechurch: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Halesowen Town recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kettering TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Stafford RangersFA Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Stafford RangersFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rushall OlympicNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Wellingborough TownFA Trophy | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Mickleover SportsFA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Leighton TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 4–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Basford UnitedFA Cup | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Redditch UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Real BedfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Halesowen Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Alvechurch recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cambridge CityFA Cup | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bourne TownFA Trophy | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Anstey NomadsNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Racing Club WarwickFA Cup | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| StamfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Wolverhampton CityFA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Rushall OlympicNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Racing Club WarwickNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Alvechurch’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern Central — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Alvechurch are ranked 5 in Regular Season, with 20 points from 10 games.
Halesowen Town are ranked 11 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Alvechurch | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Kettering Town | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Redditch United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Banbury United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Stratford Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 28 | -25 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.