Reserve League · Clausura - 12
Gimnasia Mendoza 21–1Instituto Res.
Mkeka wa Leo · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Reserve League
- Venue
- Victor Legrotaglie
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 vs Instituto Res.: match review and analysis
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 vs Instituto Res. in Reserve League on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Instituto Res. recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 14 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | Instituto Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gimnasia Mendoza 2: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 1.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Instituto Res.: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barracas Central Res.Reserve League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Independiente Riva. Res.Reserve League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Talleres Córdoba Res.Reserve League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Banfield Res.Reserve League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rosario Central Res.Reserve League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tigre Res.Reserve League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| San Lorenzo Res.Reserve League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Vélez Sársfield Res.Reserve League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| River Plate Res.Reserve League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Racing Club Res.Reserve League | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Gimnasia Mendoza 2’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Instituto Res. recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club Res.Reserve League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2Reserve League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Barracas Central Res.Reserve League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sarmiento Res.Reserve League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Talleres Córdoba Res.Reserve League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Argentinos Juniors Res.Reserve League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Banfield Res.Reserve League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Aldosivi Res.Reserve League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rosario Central Res.Reserve League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Gimnasia La Plata Res.Reserve League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Instituto Res.’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Reserve League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Instituto Res. are ranked 21 in Apertura, with 24 points from 18 games.
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 are ranked 24 in Apertura, with 23 points from 18 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vélez Sársfield Res. | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 13 | 29 | 47 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors Res. | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 12 | 24 | 39 |
| 3 | Racing Club Res. | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 39 |
| 4 | River Plate Res. | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Independiente Res. | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 36 |
| 6 | Lanús Res. | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 35 |
| 7 | Newell's Old Boys Res. | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Quilmes 2 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia Res. | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 32 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán Res. | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 29 |
| 12 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 28 |
| 13 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 28 |
| 14 | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Talleres Córdoba Res. | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
| 16 | Huracán Res. | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 26 |
| 17 | Rosario Central Res. | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
| 18 | Platense Res. | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 26 |
| 19 | Deportivo Riestra Res. | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 25 |
| 20 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
| 21 | Instituto Res. | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
| 22 | San Lorenzo Res. | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
| 23 | Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 23 |
| 24 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 23 |
| 25 | Banfield Res. | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 23 |
| 26 | Ferro 2 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
| 27 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
| 28 | Colón Res. | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
| 29 | Aldosivi Res. | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
| 30 | Barracas Central Res. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 17 |
| 31 | Sarmiento Res. | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
| 32 | Tigre Res. | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
| 33 | Godoy Cruz Res. | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 15 |
| 34 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 12 |
| 35 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 32 | -23 | 11 |
| 36 | San Martín San Juan Res. | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | 59 | -43 | 8 |
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 are ranked 7 in Clausura, with 20 points from 12 games.
Instituto Res. are ranked 20 in Clausura, with 15 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Res. | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Riestra Res. | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Lanús Res. | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | River Plate Res. | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
| 8 | Rosario Central Res. | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors Res. | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 | Vélez Sársfield Res. | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 17 |
| 13 | Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 14 | Huracán Res. | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
| 15 | Sarmiento Res. | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 17 |
| 16 | Talleres Córdoba Res. | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
| 17 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 18 | Godoy Cruz Res. | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 19 | Quilmes 2 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 20 | Instituto Res. | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 15 |
| 21 | Newell's Old Boys Res. | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 22 | San Lorenzo Res. | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
| 23 | Tigre Res. | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 24 | Racing Club Res. | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
| 25 | Defensa y Justicia Res. | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 12 |
| 26 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 27 | Atlético Tucumán Res. | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 12 |
| 28 | Aldosivi Res. | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
| 29 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 30 | San Martín San Juan Res. | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 10 |
| 31 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 9 |
| 32 | Banfield Res. | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 9 |
| 33 | Colón Res. | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
| 34 | Platense Res. | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 7 |
| 35 | Barracas Central Res. | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
| 36 | Ferro 2 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.