Challenge Cup · Group Stage - 6
Gala Fairydean RoversvsHamilton Academical
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge Cup
- Venue
- Netherdale
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hamilton Academical: match review and analysis
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hamilton Academical in Challenge Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Gala Fairydean Rovers recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 25. Hamilton Academical recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 19 scored and 3 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gala Fairydean Rovers | Hamilton Academical |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 25 | 3 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gala Fairydean Rovers: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 0.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hamilton Academical: (2.18 weighted goals scored + 2.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Gala Fairydean Rovers recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Largs ThistleFA Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Alloa AthleticChallenge Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SpartansChallenge Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tranent JuniorsFootball League - Lowland League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticFootball League - Lowland League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Musselburgh AthleticFootball League - Lowland League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hearts U21Challenge Cup | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Lochee UnitedFootball League - Lowland League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| StranraerChallenge Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Hill Of Beath HawthornFootball League - Lowland League | Home | 3–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Gala Fairydean Rovers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Hamilton Academical recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa AthleticLeague One | Away | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| PeterheadLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Kilmarnock IIChallenge Cup | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| CowdenbeathChallenge Cup | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Queen of the SouthLeague One | Home | 4–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| SpartansChallenge Cup | Away | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| East KilbrideLeague One | Away | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Cove RangersLeague One | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Edinburgh CityChallenge Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| East FifeLeague One | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hamilton Academical’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge Cup — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.