Premier League · Regular Season - 5
Gaborone UnitedvsMorupule Wanderers
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Gaborone United vs Morupule Wanderers: match review and analysis
Gaborone United vs Morupule Wanderers in Premier League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Gaborone United recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Morupule Wanderers recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 10 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gaborone United | Morupule Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gaborone United: (2.10 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Morupule Wanderers: (0.90 weighted goals scored + 0.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gaborone United recent form
2.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young AfricansCAF Champions League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Young AfricansCAF Champions League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Prisons XIPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BDF XIPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Centre ChiefsPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CalendarPremier League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| TAFICPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Orapa UnitedPremier League | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| Black LionsPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Morupule WanderersPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Gaborone United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Morupule Wanderers recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Township RollersPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sua FlamingoesPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Police XIPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Police XIPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| GalaxyPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sua FlamingoesPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nico UnitedPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CalendarPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Centre ChiefsPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Gaborone UnitedPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Morupule Wanderers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Gaborone United are ranked 11 in Premier League, with 3 points from 1 games.
Morupule Wanderers are ranked 13 in Premier League, with 2 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonota | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Sua Flamingoes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Police XI | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Nico United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | TAFIC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Extension Gunners | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Enesia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Township Rollers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | BDF XI | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Centre Chiefs | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Gaborone United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Orapa United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Morupule Wanderers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Galaxy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Matebele | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Prisons XI | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.