Carioca B2 · Group Stage - 7
Friburguense0–0Paduano
Mkeka wa Leo · Live match
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
First Half
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Carioca B2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- First Half
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Friburguense vs Paduano: match review and analysis
Friburguense vs Paduano in Carioca B2 on 6 October 2026 is in progress. The latest saved score is 0–0. Scores and match status refresh automatically.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Friburguense recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Paduano recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Friburguense | Paduano |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Friburguense: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Paduano: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Friburguense recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 de AbrilCarioca B2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SE Belford RoxoCarioca B2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Campos AACarioca B2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| ParatyCarioca B2 | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Barra MansaCarioca B2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Serra MacaenseCarioca B2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nova CidadeCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PaduanoCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| NiteroienseCarioca - 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| São Cristóvão RJCarioca - 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Friburguense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Paduano recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campos AACarioca B2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ParatyCarioca B2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Barra MansaCarioca B2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Serra MacaenseCarioca B2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Santa Cruz RJCarioca B2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cardoso MoreiraCarioca B2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NiteroienseCarioca - 2 | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| FriburguenseCarioca - 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| São Cristóvão RJCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Duque de CaxiasCarioca - 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Paduano’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Carioca B2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Friburguense are ranked 1 in Carioca B2, with 14 points from 6 games.
Paduano are ranked 5 in Carioca B2, with 11 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Serra Macaense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardoso Moreira | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz RJ | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Paduano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Rio de Janeiro | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 de Abril | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | SE Belford Roxo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Campos AA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Búzios | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 21 | -17 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.