Paraibano 2 · Regular Season - 8
FemarvsSanta Rita
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 7 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Paraibano 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Femar vs Santa Rita: match review and analysis
Femar vs Santa Rita in Paraibano 2 on 7 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Femar recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 7 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 19. Santa Rita recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Femar | Santa Rita |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Femar: (0.68 weighted goals scored + 0.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Santa Rita: (2.25 weighted goals scored + 2.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 7 GAMES
Femar recent form
0.71 goals scored and 2.71 conceded per game. 7 of 7 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo CrystalParaibano 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cruzeiro PBParaibano 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SpartaxParaibano 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sport PBParaibano 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| GuarabiraParaibano 2 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| PicuienseParaibano 2 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Auto EsporteParaibano 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Femar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 7 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Santa Rita recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PicuienseParaibano 2 | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| São Paulo CrystalParaibano 2 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sport PBParaibano 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Serrano PBParaibano 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cruzeiro PBParaibano 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Auto EsporteParaibano 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GuarabiraParaibano 2 | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Puerto QuitoLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| 9 de OctubreLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Manta FCLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Santa Rita’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Paraibano 2 — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.