Liga 1 · Regular Season - 9
FCM UnghenivsZimbru II
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru II: match review and analysis
FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru II in Liga 1 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FCM Ungheni recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 32 and conceding 17. Zimbru II recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 15 scored and 26 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FCM Ungheni | Zimbru II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 32 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 26 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FCM Ungheni: (3.75 weighted goals scored + 2.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Zimbru II: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 1.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FCM Ungheni recent form
3.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univer ComratLiga 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Spartanii SelemetLiga 1 | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Vulturii CutezătoriLiga 1 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Olimp ComratCupa | Home | 9–0 | Won | |
| IskraLiga 1 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Zimbru IILiga 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Univer ComratLiga 1 | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| Spartanii SelemetLiga 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vulturii CutezătoriLiga 1 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FC BacauFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from FCM Ungheni’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Zimbru II recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IskraLiga 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Univer ComratLiga 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Spartanii SelemetLiga 1 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Vulturii CutezătoriLiga 1 | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| FCM UngheniLiga 1 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| IskraLiga 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Univer ComratLiga 1 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Spartanii SelemetLiga 1 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| FCM UngheniLiga 1 | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| OguzsportLiga 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Zimbru II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FCM Ungheni are ranked 3 in Divisia A, with 14 points from 8 games.
Zimbru II are ranked 5 in Divisia A, with 7 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vulturii Cutezători | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 19 |
| 1 | Oguzsport | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Iskra | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Stăuceni | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FCM Ungheni | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | FC National Ialoveni | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Univer Comrat | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Făleşti | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 5 | Zimbru II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 7 |
| 5 | Victoria Bardar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 6 | Spartanii Selemet | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 38 | -28 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.