Liga Alef · South - 6
FC JerusalemvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Alef
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: match review and analysis
FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi in Liga Alef on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FC Jerusalem recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 12. Maccabi Kiryat Malachi recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 16 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Jerusalem | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Jerusalem: (2.19 weighted goals scored + 0.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: (1.85 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Jerusalem recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirey TiraLiga Alef | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Maccabi YavneLiga Alef | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kfar Saba 1928Liga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| DimonaLiga Alef | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Maccabi Kiryat MalachiLiga Alef | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC Jerusalem’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DimonaLiga Alef | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel AzorLiga Alef | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel SderotLiga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Mahane YehudaLiga Alef | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Beitar YavneLiga Alef | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hapoel AzorLiga Alef | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC JerusalemLiga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Maccabi Kiryat Malachi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Alef — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.