Premier League · Regular Season - 5
Entebbe UPPCvsPolice
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Gaddafi Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Entebbe UPPC vs Police: match review and analysis
Entebbe UPPC vs Police in Premier League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Entebbe UPPC recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Police recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 9 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Entebbe UPPC | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Entebbe UPPC: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 0.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Police: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 0.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Entebbe UPPC recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbarara CityPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LugaziPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UPDFPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| VipersPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BULPremier League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| PolicePremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MaroonsPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| UPDFPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CalvaryPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| VipersPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Entebbe UPPC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Police recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LugaziPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| UPDFPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Blacks PowerPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mbarara CityPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KitaraPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Entebbe UPPCPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VipersPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CalvaryPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UPDFPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MaroonsPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Police’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Police are ranked 5 in Regular Season, with 7 points from 4 games.
Entebbe UPPC are ranked 6 in Regular Season, with 7 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Vipers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Express | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | KCCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | URA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.