Challenge Cup · Group Stage - 6
Elgin CityvsAberdeen U21
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge Cup
- Venue
- Borough Briggs
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Elgin City vs Aberdeen U21: match review and analysis
Elgin City vs Aberdeen U21 in Challenge Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Elgin City recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 27 and conceding 12. Aberdeen U21 recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 22 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Elgin City | Aberdeen U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 27 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Elgin City: (3.02 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Aberdeen U21: (2.01 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Elgin City recent form
2.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forfar AthleticLeague Two | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| ClydeLeague Two | Home | 6–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| PeterheadChallenge Cup | Away | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Dundee IIChallenge Cup | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| StranraerLeague Two | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Annan AthleticLeague Two | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FraserburghChallenge Cup | Home | 7–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| DumbartonLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Stirling AlbionLeague Two | Home | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| ClachnacuddinChallenge Cup | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Elgin City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Aberdeen U21 recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cove RangersChallenge Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Banks O' DeeChallenge Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ross CountyChallenge Cup | Away | 4–3 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| FraserburghChallenge Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Forfar AthleticChallenge Cup | Away | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| KeithFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Inverurie Loco WorksFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Turriff UnitedFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| InvergordonFriendlies Clubs | Away | 9–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| FraserburghFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Aberdeen U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge Cup — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.