National League - South · National League South - 4
Ebbsfleet UnitedvsAFC Totton
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - South
- Venue
- Stonebridge Road Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Totton: match review and analysis
Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Totton in National League - South on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Ebbsfleet United recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 8. AFC Totton recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 7 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ebbsfleet United | AFC Totton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ebbsfleet United: (1.32 weighted goals scored + 1.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
AFC Totton: (0.60 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Ebbsfleet United recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton & RichmondNational League - South | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Folkestone InvictaNational League - South | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| SholingFA Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Slough TownNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| MaidenheadFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| SalisburyNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Walton & HershamNational League - South | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| GillinghamFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ebbsfleet United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
AFC Totton recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walton & HershamNational League - South | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DoverNational League - South | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Gloucester CityFA Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Slough TownNational League - South | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Weston-super-MareNational League - South | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Hampton & RichmondNational League - South | Home | 4–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| MaidenheadNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chesham UnitedNational League - South | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Dorking WanderersNational League - South | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Billericay TownNational League - South | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from AFC Totton’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ebbsfleet United are ranked 12 in National League N/S: South, with 15 points from 7 games.
AFC Totton are ranked 20 in National League N/S: South, with 10 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Tonbridge Angels | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 10 | Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
| 12 | Ebbsfleet United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 13 | Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 16 | Maidenhead | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 | Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.