IFA Shield · Semi-finals
East Bengal II7–2NorthEast United
Mkeka wa Leo · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 1 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- IFA Shield
- Venue
- Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 7–2
- 90-minute score
- 7–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
East Bengal II vs NorthEast United: match review and analysis
East Bengal II vs NorthEast United in IFA Shield on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 7–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
East Bengal II recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 11. NorthEast United recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, with 0 scored and 3 conceded across 1 games.
| Statistic | East Bengal II | NorthEast United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 1 |
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 0 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 3 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 1 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
East Bengal II: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 3.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
NorthEast United: (0.00 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
East Bengal II recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minerva PunjabIFA Shield | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Calcutta CustomsIFA Shield | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Al HusseinAFC Champions League Two | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Al ArabiAFC Champions League Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Inter KashiIndian Super League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ATK Mohun BaganIndian Super League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Minerva PunjabIndian Super League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mumbai CityIndian Super League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| OdishaIndian Super League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| BengaluruIndian Super League | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from East Bengal II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 1 GAMES
NorthEast United recent form
0.00 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. 1 of 1 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bengal IIIndian Super League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from NorthEast United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 1 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
IFA Shield — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.