Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 7
DendervsClub Brugge II
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenger Pro League
- Venue
- Stade Van Roy
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Dender vs Club Brugge II: match review and analysis
Dender vs Club Brugge II in Challenger Pro League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Dender recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Club Brugge II recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 18 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Dender | Club Brugge II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Dender: (1.72 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Club Brugge II: (2.00 weighted goals scored + 0.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Dender recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HoogstratenCup | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| Patro EisdenChallenger Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KAA Gent IIChallenger Pro League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Seraing UnitedChallenger Pro League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| LiègeChallenger Pro League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Beerschot VAChallenger Pro League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sporting HasseltChallenger Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| OudenaardeFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Lokeren-TemseFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Dender’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Club Brugge II recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAA Gent IIChallenger Pro League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LiègeChallenger Pro League | Away | 4–4 | Draw | |
| AS EupenChallenger Pro League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Patro EisdenChallenger Pro League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Seraing UnitedChallenger Pro League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| KortrijkFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OH LeuvenFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| OudenaardeFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AS EupenChallenger Pro League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Club Brugge II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenger Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Dender are ranked 2 in Second Division, with 15 points from 6 games.
Club Brugge II are ranked 8 in Second Division, with 8 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beerschot VA | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Dender | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | AS Eupen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Francs Borains | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Excelsior Virton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Lokeren-Temse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Sporting Hasselt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Club Brugge II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | KRC Genk II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Liège | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | KAA Gent II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | K. Lierse S.K. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Patro Eisden | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Seraing United | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
| 15 | RSC Anderlecht II | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.