Challenge Cup · Group Stage - 6
CowdenbeathvsCeltic II
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge Cup
- Venue
- Central Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Cowdenbeath vs Celtic II: match review and analysis
Cowdenbeath vs Celtic II in Challenge Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Cowdenbeath recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Celtic II recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 26 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cowdenbeath | Celtic II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cowdenbeath: (1.96 weighted goals scored + 2.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Celtic II: (2.45 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Cowdenbeath recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berwick RangersFA Cup | Home | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| ClydeChallenge Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Hamilton AcademicalChallenge Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Lochee UnitedFootball League - Lowland League | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| East StirlingshireFootball League - Lowland League | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Hill Of Beath HawthornFootball League - Lowland League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kilmarnock IIChallenge Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Linlithgow RoseFootball League - Lowland League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| East KilbrideChallenge Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Stirling UniversityFootball League - Lowland League | Home | 4–2 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Cowdenbeath’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Celtic II recent form
2.60 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ClachnacuddinChallenge Cup | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| East KilbrideChallenge Cup | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Gretna 2008Football League - Lowland League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Dalbeattie StarFootball League - Lowland League | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Kilwinning RangersFootball League - Lowland League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| StranraerChallenge Cup | Away | 4–3 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Auchinleck TalbotFootball League - Lowland League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| DumbartonChallenge Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cumnock JuniorsFootball League - Lowland League | Home | 4–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Dalbeattie StarFootball League - Lowland League | Away | 5–1 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Celtic II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge Cup — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.