Non League Premier - Isthmian · Regular Season - 11
Chatham TownvsLeatherhead
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Isthmian
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Chatham Town vs Leatherhead: match review and analysis
Chatham Town vs Leatherhead in Non League Premier - Isthmian on 6 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Chatham Town recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Leatherhead recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chatham Town | Leatherhead |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chatham Town: (1.68 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Leatherhead: (1.65 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chatham Town recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorking WanderersFA Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BerkhamstedFA Trophy | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Slough TownFA Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Eastbourne BoroughNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LewesNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Egham TownFA Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| DartfordNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Wingate & FinchleyNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Three BridgesNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Chatham Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Leatherhead recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanworth VillaFA Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| RamsgateFA Trophy | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Three BridgesNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| KingstonianFA Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| WhyteleafeNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Croydon AthleticFA Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Dulwich HamletNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Eastbourne BoroughNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Maldon & TiptreeNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Leatherhead’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Isthmian — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Leatherhead are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 15 points from 9 games.
Chatham Town are ranked 13 in Regular Season, with 12 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Welling United | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Dartford | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Carshalton Athletic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 21 |
| 4 | Lewes | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Enfield Town | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Dulwich Hamlet | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Leatherhead | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | St Albans City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Ramsgate | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 11 | Burgess Hill Town | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Cray Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 | Chatham Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 | Wingate & Finchley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Aveley | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
| 16 | Brentwood Town | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Maldon & Tiptree | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 9 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Whyteleafe | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 5 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.