Copa do Brasil U20 · Round of 32
Ceará U201–0Ferroviario U20
Mkeka wa Leo · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa do Brasil U20
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Ceará U20 vs Ferroviario U20: match review and analysis
Ceará U20 vs Ferroviario U20 in Copa do Brasil U20 on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Ceará U20 recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 25 and conceding 7. Ferroviario U20 recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 7 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ceará U20 | Ferroviario U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 25 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ceará U20: (2.00 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ferroviario U20: (0.64 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ceará U20 recent form
2.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza U20Cearense U20 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atlético Piauiense U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fortaleza U20Cearense U20 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tirol U20Cearense U20 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Tirol U20Cearense U20 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vila Real FC U20Cearense U20 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Vila Real FC U20Cearense U20 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Quixadá U20Cearense U20 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Fortaleza U20Cearense U20 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Juazeiro EC U20Cearense U20 | Away | 10–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ceará U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ferroviario U20 recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esporte de Patos U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fortaleza U20Cearense U20 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Fortaleza U20Cearense U20 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Horizonte U20Cearense U20 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Anjos do Céu U20Cearense U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tiangua CE U20Cearense U20 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ceará U20Cearense U20 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Vila Real FC U20Cearense U20 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Caucaia U20Cearense U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tirol U20Cearense U20 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Ferroviario U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa do Brasil U20 — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.