Pro League A · Regular Season - 21
BuxDu2–6Lochin
Mkeka wa Leo · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Pro League A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–6
- 90-minute score
- 2–6
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
BuxDu vs Lochin: match review and analysis
BuxDu vs Lochin in Pro League A on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–6. Review the team form and league context below.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
BuxDu recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 27. Lochin recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 7 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | BuxDu | Lochin |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 27 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
BuxDu: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 1.64 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lochin: (0.63 weighted goals scored + 2.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
BuxDu recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FarDuPro League A | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Respublika FAPro League A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KattaqurgonPro League A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Olimpik-MobiuzPro League A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MetalourgPro League A | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| AralPro League A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GazalkentPro League A | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ShortanPro League A | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| JayxunPro League A | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Pakhtakor IIPro League A | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from BuxDu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lochin recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Respublika FAPro League A | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AralPro League A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GazalkentPro League A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ShortanPro League A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| JayxunPro League A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Pakhtakor IIPro League A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| QiziriqPro League A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| YaypanPro League A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MetalourgPro League A | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| FarDuPro League A | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lochin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Pro League A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lochin are ranked 6 in Pro League A, with 35 points from 21 games.
BuxDu are ranked 13 in Pro League A, with 10 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aral | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 13 | 32 | 52 |
| 2 | Shortan | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
| 3 | Metalourg | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 16 | 33 | 43 |
| 4 | FarDu | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 40 |
| 5 | Gazalkent | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 35 |
| 6 | Lochin | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 35 |
| 7 | Kattaqurgon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Olimpik-Mobiuz | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 32 |
| 9 | Respublika FA | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 | Jayxun | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Yaypan | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 22 |
| 12 | Pakhtakor II | 21 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 10 |
| 13 | BuxDu | 21 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 18 | 54 | -36 | 10 |
| 14 | Qiziriq | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 51 | -39 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.